Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 46.45%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.5%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sporting Kansas City in this match.