Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 43.13%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portland Timbers in this match.
Result | ||
Portland Timbers | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
43.13% | 24.19% | 32.68% |
Both teams to score 59.75% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.32% | 42.68% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.91% | 65.09% |
Portland Timbers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.02% | 19.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.85% | 52.15% |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.67% | 25.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.88% | 60.12% |
Score Analysis |
Portland Timbers | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
2-1 @ 9.01% 1-0 @ 8.15% 2-0 @ 6.56% 3-1 @ 4.84% 3-0 @ 3.52% 3-2 @ 3.32% 4-1 @ 1.95% 4-0 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.01% Total : 43.13% | 1-1 @ 11.19% 2-2 @ 6.19% 0-0 @ 5.06% 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.19% | 1-2 @ 7.68% 0-1 @ 6.95% 0-2 @ 4.77% 1-3 @ 3.52% 2-3 @ 2.83% 0-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 1.21% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.57% Total : 32.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |