Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 11

May 31, 2021 at 12am UK

PPL Park

Philadelphia
3 - 0
Portland

Przybylko (26'), Santos (31'), Elliott (63')
Mbaizo (5')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Zuparic (62'), Bravo (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 50.93%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 25.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	Portland Timbers
50.93%	23.68%	25.39%

Both teams to score 56.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.25%

44.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.89%

67.11%

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.38%

17.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.79%

48.21%

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.56%

31.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.18%

67.82%

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 50.94%

Portland Timbers 25.39%

Draw 23.67%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	Portland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.66% 1-0 @ 9.62% 2-0 @ 8.35% 3-1 @ 5.59% 3-0 @ 4.83% 3-2 @ 3.24% 4-1 @ 2.43% 4-0 @ 2.1% 4-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.72% Total : 50.94%	1-1 @ 11.12% 2-2 @ 5.59% 0-0 @ 5.54% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.67%	1-2 @ 6.44% 0-1 @ 6.41% 0-2 @ 3.71% 1-3 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 2.16% 0-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.77% Total : 25.39%