Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 50.51%. A win for DC United had a probability of 25.47% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-2 (8.48%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-0 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Philadelphia Union in this match.