Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for DC United had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
DC United | Draw | Chicago Fire |
33.75% | 25.23% | 41.02% |
Both teams to score 56.47% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.88% | 47.11% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.64% | 69.35% |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.19% | 26.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.89% | 62.1% |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.15% | 22.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.42% | 56.57% |
Score Analysis |
DC United | Draw | Chicago Fire |
1-0 @ 8.06% 2-1 @ 7.84% 2-0 @ 5.31% 3-1 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 2.54% 3-0 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.11% Total : 33.75% | 1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 6.12% 2-2 @ 5.78% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 9.04% 1-2 @ 8.79% 0-2 @ 6.68% 1-3 @ 4.33% 0-3 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 2.85% 1-4 @ 1.6% 0-4 @ 1.21% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.19% Total : 41.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
2 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
3 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |