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Major League Soccer
Mar 5, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Bold Stadium
Montreal Impact

Austin
1 - 0
Montreal

Urruti (88')
Wolff (22')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Saliba (8'), Piette (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austin 2-3 Saint Louis City
Sunday, February 26 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-0 Montreal
Sunday, February 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 2-0 CF Montreal

Both sides enjoyed fantastic campaigns last year, but with Montreal losing key players in the off-season, we think that Austin will take the three points here. The Verde and Black will be looking to respond to last week's defeat, and we think that they will have too much firepower for Montreal.

How to watch

You can watch Austin FC vs. CF Montreal and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.2%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawCF Montreal
46.69% (0.295 0.3) 22.9% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 30.4% (-0.29 -0.29)
Both teams to score 63.29% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.44% (-0.131 -0.13)37.55% (0.126 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.21% (-0.141 -0.14)59.78% (0.136 0.14)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.51% (0.059000000000012 0.06)16.48% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.79% (0.108 0.11)46.2% (-0.113 -0.11)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.78% (-0.24199999999999 -0.24)24.21% (0.236 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.44% (-0.342 -0.34)58.55% (0.336 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 46.69%
    CF Montreal 30.4%
    Draw 22.9%
Austin FCDrawCF Montreal
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.2% (0.059 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.49% (0.067 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.53% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.9% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.49% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.76% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 4.45%
Total : 46.69%
1-1 @ 10.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.52% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.99% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.85% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.9%
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.66% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.01% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.42% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.08% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.21% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 30.4%

How you voted: Austin vs Montreal

Austin FC
Draw
CF Montreal
Austin FC
66.7%
Draw
11.1%
CF Montreal
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Jun 19, 2022 12.30am
Montreal
0-1
Austin
Urruti (67')
Pereira (6'), Urruti (45+1'), Cascante (48'), Gallagher (60')
Pereira (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia5401126612
2Charlotte FCCharlotte FC5311104610
3Inter MiamiInter Miami431094510
4Nashville SCNashville531183510
5Chicago Fire5311129310
6Columbus Crew52306339
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls52216428
8New York City FCNY City52216518
9Orlando City5212131127
10FC CincinnatiCincinnati521268-27
11DC United513179-26
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta512268-25
13New England RevolutionNew England401315-41
14Toronto5014612-61
15CF MontrealMontreal501429-71

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver5401105512
2Austin FCAustin53024319
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles53026609
4St Louis City52214138
5Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd52217618
6Colorado RapidsColorado522167-18
7Dallas521278-17
8Portland TimbersPortland521267-17
9San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes52038806
10Real Salt LakeSalt Lake520359-46
11Seattle SoundersSeattle51227705
12Houston DynamoHouston502338-52
13Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy5023410-62
14Sporting Kansas CityKansas5014510-51
15San Diego FC00000000


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