Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.2%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Austin FC | Draw | CF Montreal |
46.69% ( 0.3) | 22.9% ( -0.01) | 30.4% ( -0.29) |
Both teams to score 63.29% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.44% ( -0.13) | 37.55% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.21% ( -0.14) | 59.78% ( 0.14) |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.51% ( 0.06) | 16.48% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.79% ( 0.11) | 46.2% ( -0.11) |
CF Montreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.78% ( -0.24) | 24.21% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.44% ( -0.34) | 58.55% ( 0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Austin FC | Draw | CF Montreal |
2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.45% Total : 46.69% | 1-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.9% | 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.78% Total : 30.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 68 | 44 | 24 | 64 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 58 | 31 | 27 | 56 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 52 | 39 | 13 | 56 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 30 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 44 |
5 | Orlando City | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 43 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 41 |
7 | New York City FCNY City | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 41 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 36 |
9 | Toronto | 31 | 11 | 3 | 17 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 36 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 34 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 33 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 33 |
13 | DC United | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 33 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 29 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 60 | -28 | 28 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 60 | 45 | 15 | 51 |
3 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 50 |
4 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 49 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 48 |
6 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 47 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 46 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 44 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 50 | 48 | 2 | 42 |
10 | Dallas | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 49 | 0 | 37 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 35 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 31 |
13 | St Louis City | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 43 | 57 | -14 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 30 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 18 |