MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 18:03:35| >> :60:56:56:
Montreal Impact
MLS Playoffs | Conference Semi-Finals
Oct 23, 2022 at 6pm UK
Saputo Stadium
New York City

Montreal
1 - 3
NY City

Mihailovic (85')
Camacho (53'), Waterman (67'), Mihailovic (69')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Moralez (6'), Heber (45+3'), Magno (61' pen.)
O'Toole (33'), Rodriguez (38'), Callens (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between CF Montreal and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 2-0 Orlando City
Monday, October 17 at 1am in MLS Playoffs

We said: CF Montreal 1-0 New York City FC

There is an excellent case to be made for either side to win this encounter, but we are going with the home team because they have been more consistent all season long and appear to be healthier, which at this time of year could tip the scales in their favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 55.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 21.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a New York City FC win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
CF MontrealDrawNew York City FC
55.84% (1.075 1.08) 22.71% (-0.309 -0.31) 21.44% (-0.765 -0.77)
Both teams to score 54.85% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.36% (0.438 0.44)44.64% (-0.436 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33% (0.422 0.42)67% (-0.42 -0.42)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.18% (0.52499999999999 0.52)15.82% (-0.524 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.01% (0.961 0.96)44.99% (-0.959 -0.96)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.16% (-0.47799999999999 -0.48)34.84% (0.481 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.42% (-0.506 -0.51)71.58% (0.509 0.51)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 55.84%
    New York City FC 21.44%
    Draw 22.7%
CF MontrealDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 10.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.038 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.37% (0.157 0.16)
3-1 @ 6.07% (0.13 0.13)
3-0 @ 5.76% (0.197 0.2)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.8% (0.109 0.11)
4-0 @ 2.66% (0.136 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.039 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.03% (0.057 0.06)
5-0 @ 0.98% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 55.84%
1-1 @ 10.71% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 5.51% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.7%
0-1 @ 5.81% (-0.188 -0.19)
1-2 @ 5.65% (-0.155 -0.16)
0-2 @ 3.06% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 21.44%

How you voted: TBC vs TBC

TBC
50.0%
Draw
30.0%
TBC
20.0%
20
Head to Head
Jul 31, 2022 12.30am
Mar 12, 2022 6pm
Jul 22, 2021 12.30am
NY City
1-0
Montreal
Tajouri (29')
Chanot (62')

Waterman (42'), Hamdi Hussein Hafez (76')
Jul 8, 2021 12.30am
Montreal
2-1
NY City
Toye (43' pen.), Quioto (73')
Brault-Guillard (57')
Parks (29')
Moralez (60'), Ibeagha (70'), Morales (77'), Castellanos (90+5')
Oct 25, 2020 12.30am
NY City
3-1
Montreal
Medina (68'), Moralez (83'), Rocha (86')
Tinnerholm (68'), Matarrita (89'), (90+1')
Quioto (89')
(90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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