MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 17:05:38| >> :60:56:56:
New York City
MLS Playoffs | First Round
Oct 18, 2022 at 12am UK
Yankee Stadium
Inter Miami

NY City
3 - 0
Inter Miami

Pereira (63'), Moralez (69'), Heber (90+2')
Acevedo (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lassiter (58'), Lowe (66'), Pozuelo (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's MLS Playoffs clash between New York City FC and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions
Last Game: Atlanta 1-2 NY City
Sunday, October 9 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer

Inter Miami

All competitions
Last Game: Inter Miami 1-3 Montreal
Sunday, October 9 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 1-0 Inter Miami

 If Pozuelo is unavailable, that is a massive break for the home side, as he has been instrumental to the Herons' success in possession, creating several high-quality scoring opportunities since his arrival in a mid-season trade with TFC. Whether he plays, we are still giving NYCFC the edge because they seem to have cleaned up their defensive issues, and their experience from last year's run to the MLS Cup should help them settle into this match a lot quicker than Miami. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 69.3%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 12.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawInter Miami
69.3% (1.006 1.01) 18.61% (-0.087 -0.09) 12.09% (-0.916 -0.92)
Both teams to score 47.94% (-2.529 -2.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.54% (-1.885 -1.89)43.45% (1.888 1.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.15% (-1.88 -1.88)65.85% (1.883 1.88)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.59% (-0.264 -0.26)11.41% (0.267 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.83% (-0.578 -0.58)36.17% (0.581 0.58)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.11% (-2.685 -2.69)45.89% (2.688 2.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.36% (-2.171 -2.17)81.63% (2.174 2.17)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 69.29%
    Inter Miami 12.09%
    Draw 18.61%
New York City FCDrawInter Miami
2-0 @ 12.33% (0.74 0.74)
1-0 @ 11.36% (0.8 0.8)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-0 @ 8.93% (0.448 0.45)
3-1 @ 6.95% (-0.163 -0.16)
4-0 @ 4.84% (0.193 0.19)
4-1 @ 3.77% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.278 -0.28)
5-0 @ 2.1% (0.062 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.64% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.169 -0.17)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 69.29%
1-1 @ 8.85% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.24% (0.422 0.42)
2-2 @ 3.74% (-0.34 -0.34)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 18.61%
0-1 @ 4.08% (0.038 0.04)
1-2 @ 3.45% (-0.273 -0.27)
0-2 @ 1.59% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-3 @ 0.97% (-0.17 -0.17)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 12.09%

How you voted: TBC vs TBC

TBC
66.7%
Draw
11.9%
TBC
21.4%
42
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2022 1am
Inter Miami
3-2
NY City
Pozuelo (39', 84'), Lassiter (63')
Gregore (32'), Taylor (48'), Pozuelo (84')
Magno (34'), Andrade (45+2')
Morales (41'), Amundsen (55'), Chanot (77'), Rodriguez (86')
Jul 24, 2022 12am
NY City
2-0
Inter Miami
Moralez (12'), Heber (75')
Morales (14')
Oct 30, 2021 6.30pm
Inter Miami
1-3
NY City
Figal (56')
Shea (29'), Gregore (45+4'), Gonzalez Pirez (81')
Castellanos (33', 60'), Magno (83')
Callens (52'), Medina (57'), Deila (76')
Aug 15, 2021 1am
NY City
2-0
Inter Miami
Castellanos (21', 45+1' pen.)
Meineche (10'), Parks (66')

Gregore (41'), Leerdam (45+1'), Gibbs (54')
Oct 4, 2020 1am
Inter Miami
2-3
NY City
Morgan (27', 38')
Gonzalez Pirez (25'), Trapp (47'), Pellegrini (72')
Mitrita (4', 43'), Tinnerholm (35')
Ibeagha (75'), Chanot (90+1'), Mackay-Steven (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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