Major League Soccer

Oct 6, 2022 at 1am UK

New Fort Lauderdale Stadium

Inter Miami
4 - 1
Orlando City

Campana (1'), Higuain (38', 52' pen.), Lassiter (56')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Kara (71')
Carlos (59'), Urso (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions

Last Game: Toronto 0-1 Inter Miami
Saturday, October 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Orlando City

All competitions

Last Game: NY City 2-1 Orlando City
Sunday, October 2 at 6pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Inter Miami 1-0 Orlando City

The marquee players on Miami are finally coming to the forefront, namely Higuain, who is currently in the best form of his Major League Soccer career. Orlando are missing a quality attacker who can make that difference, and they appear to be damaged psychologically of late, which is a bad sign this late into the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
Inter Miami	Draw	Orlando City
39.52% ( -0.2)	25.97% ( 0.09)	34.51% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 54.11% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.77% (

-0.39)

50.23% (

0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.81% (

-0.35)

72.19% (

0.35)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75% (

-0.28)

25% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.34% (

-0.39)

59.65% (

0.4)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.15% (

-0.13)

27.85% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.54% (

-0.16)

63.45% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Inter Miami 39.52%

Orlando City 34.51%

Draw 25.96%

Inter Miami	Draw	Orlando City
1-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.69% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.61% Total : 39.52%	1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.96%	0-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.89% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 34.51%