NY Red Bulls3 - 1Inter Miami
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, August 20 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | CF Montreal | 26 | 8 | 46 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 27 | 6 | 41 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 5 | 35 |
Sunday, August 21 at 1am in Major League Soccer
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | New York Red Bulls | 27 | 6 | 41 |
| 5 | Inter Miami | 26 | -4 | 36 |
| 6 | Orlando City | 26 | -7 | 36 |
We said: New York Red Bulls 1-0 Inter Miami
The Reb Bulls have looked much more composed defensively of late, and even though the Herons have generated some positive results recently, they do not appear to be as organised at the back away from home. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 58.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 17.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Inter Miami |
58.15% ( 0.14) | 23.93% ( 0) | 17.92% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 45.54% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.83% ( -0.22) | 54.16% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.42% ( -0.19) | 75.58% ( 0.18) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.56% ( -0.03) | 18.43% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.39% ( -0.05) | 49.6% ( 0.05) |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.83% ( -0.32) | 44.16% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.74% ( -0.26) | 80.25% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Inter Miami |
| 1-0 @ 13.76% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 11.63% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 58.14% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.65% Total : 23.93% | 0-1 @ 6.65% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.64% Total : 17.92% |
