Major League Soccer

Jul 31, 2022 at 1am UK

New Fort Lauderdale Stadium

Inter Miami
4 - 4
Cincinnati

Higuain (23', 37', 45+5' pen.), McVey (90+7')
Vassilev (60')

FT(HT: 3-2)

Brenner (28', 40'), Vazquez (81', 86')
Cameron (21'), Barreal (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

Last Six:

Last Game: NY City 2-0 Inter Miami
Sunday, July 24 at 12am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Chicago Fire	22	-4	26
10	Inter Miami	21	-7	25
11	Atlanta United	21	-1	24

We said: Inter Miami 2-1 FC Cincinnati

Inter Miami return home where they will be looking to restore some pride following their humbling defeat at the hands of Barcelona. They have won four of their last five home matches in the league and we are backing them to continue this fine run and claim all three points against a floundering Cincinnati side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Inter Miami	Draw	FC Cincinnati
38.38% ( -0.28)	25.91% ( -0)	35.71% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 54.49% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.17% (

0.04)

49.82% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.17% (

0.03)

71.82% (

-0.03)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.57% (

-0.14)

25.42% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.75% (

-0.19)

60.24% (

0.19)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.06% (

0.19)

26.93% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.73% (

0.24)

62.26% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

Inter Miami 38.38%

FC Cincinnati 35.71%

Draw 25.91%

Inter Miami	Draw	FC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.54% Total : 38.38%	1-1 @ 12.3% 0-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.91%	0-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.09% Total : 35.71%