We saw this week how far Cincinnati have come under their new coach, and, at the same time, how far they still have to go to be an elite team in this league, as they still lack structure on the back end, allowing the most goals in the Eastern Conference (30) this season.
By no means are the Revs the most rugged defensive unit out there, but we expect their attacking depth collectively will be just a cut above Cincinnati.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 66.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 14.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.