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New York Red Bulls
Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2022 at 11pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Orlando City

NY Red Bulls
0 - 1
Orlando City


Tolkin (12'), Casseres Jr (32')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Torres (17')
Moutinho (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orlando City 0-3 New England
Sunday, August 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York Red Bulls 4-2 Orlando City

NY Red Bulls and Orlando have already met on two occasions this season, with the Red Bulls winning 3-0 in the MLS before the Lions thumped Saturday's opponents 5-1 in the US Open Cup. We expect more goals to follow at the weekend, but we think that NY Red Bulls will get the better of an Orlando side, who have lost their last three MLS games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 50.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 23.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawOrlando City
50.18% (-2.06 -2.06) 25.82% (0.377 0.38) 23.99% (1.675 1.68)
Both teams to score 48.4% (0.762 0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.29% (0.054000000000002 0.05)54.71% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.97% (0.044999999999998 0.04)76.03% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.16% (-0.85599999999999 -0.86)21.84% (0.847 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.93% (-1.315 -1.32)55.06% (1.306 1.31)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.93% (1.628 1.63)38.07% (-1.637 -1.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.16% (1.54 1.54)74.83% (-1.548 -1.55)
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 50.18%
    Orlando City 23.99%
    Draw 25.82%
New York Red BullsDrawOrlando City
1-0 @ 12.65% (-0.36 -0.36)
2-0 @ 9.62% (-0.527 -0.53)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
3-0 @ 4.88% (-0.405 -0.41)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.169 -0.17)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.86% (-0.207 -0.21)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 50.18%
1-1 @ 12.21% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 8.31% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.156 0.16)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 8.03% (0.331 0.33)
1-2 @ 5.9% (0.349 0.35)
0-2 @ 3.88% (0.322 0.32)
1-3 @ 1.9% (0.19 0.19)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.111 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.25% (0.153 0.15)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 23.99%

How you voted: NY Red Bulls vs Orlando City

New York Red Bulls
72.7%
Draw
18.2%
Orlando City
9.1%
22
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2022 8.30pm
Orlando City
0-3
NY Red Bulls

Urso (45+3')
Luquinhas (26'), Casseres Jr (48'), Morgan (88' pen.)
Fletcher (33'), Nealis (41'), Luquinhas (42'), Morgan (42'), Coronel (83')
Jul 4, 2021 12.30am
Orlando City
1-2
NY Red Bulls
Mueller (59')
Urso (2'), Pereyra (41')
Casseres Jr (6')
Duncan (22'), Gomes (34'), Yearwood (57'), Barlow (90+6')
May 29, 2021 6pm
NY Red Bulls
2-1
Orlando City
Clark (35'), Casseres Jr (60')
Davis (65'), Casseres Jr (80')
Van der Water (84')
Carlos (52'), Mendez (56'), Jansson (74')
Oct 19, 2020 12am
NY Red Bulls
1-1
Orlando City
White (90+5')
Valot (90+1')
Nani (55' pen.)
Miller (25'), Urso (36'), Nani (90+4')
Oct 3, 2020 9.30pm
Orlando City
3-1
NY Red Bulls
Dike (24'), Urso (50'), Carlos (90+5')
Pereyra (15'), O (69')
Valot (54')
Egbo (14')
rhs 2.0
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Cowboys
20-15
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami30197468442464
2Columbus Crew29168558312756
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati30175852391356
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls30101464739844
5Orlando City30127115045543
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC30118113633341
7New York City FCNY City30118114343041
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia30991257471036
9Toronto31113173855-1736
10CF MontrealMontreal30810124161-2034
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta3089134044-433
12Nashville SCNashville3089133146-1533
13DC United3089134461-1733
14Chicago Fire3178163654-1829
15New England RevolutionNew England2984173260-2828

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy31177763461758
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake30149760451551
3Colorado RapidsColorado30155105850850
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles29147852401249
5Houston DynamoHouston30139843331048
6Seattle SoundersSeattle30138945341147
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2913794940946
8Portland TimbersPortland301281063531044
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd30126125048242
10Dallas30107134949037
11Austin FCAustin3098133242-1035
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas3187164958-931
13St Louis City30613114357-1431
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3053223769-3218


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