Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for DC United had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.