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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Jul 9, 2022 at 12.30am UK
PPL Park
DC United

Philadelphia
7 - 0
DC United

Bedoya (9', 37'), Carranza (22', 25', 72'), Uhre (45+2', 59')
FT(HT: 5-0)

Birnbaum (36'), Odoi-Atsem (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orlando City 3-5 DC United
Tuesday, July 5 at 12am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 2-1 DC United

While DC United enjoyed an emphatic victory in their most recent outing, that does not mean that they are the favourites heading into this fixture. Philadelphia Union have the chance to potentially finish this weekend as the league leaders, and that is something that they are unlikely to throw away. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 60.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for DC United had a probability of 16.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawDC United
60.75% (3.078 3.08) 22.62% (-1.296 -1.3) 16.62% (-1.782 -1.78)
Both teams to score 46.86% (0.45999999999999 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.91% (2.388 2.39)51.08% (-2.389 -2.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.06% (2.058 2.06)72.94% (-2.059 -2.06)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.6% (1.954 1.95)16.39% (-1.956 -1.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.95% (3.423 3.42)46.04% (-3.423 -3.42)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.05% (-0.779 -0.78)43.95% (0.77800000000001 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.92% (-0.648 -0.65)80.08% (0.64699999999999 0.65)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 60.73%
    DC United 16.62%
    Draw 22.62%
Philadelphia UnionDrawDC United
1-0 @ 13.02% (-0.41 -0.41)
2-0 @ 11.77% (0.39 0.39)
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.119 0.12)
3-0 @ 7.1% (0.663 0.66)
3-1 @ 5.84% (0.431 0.43)
4-0 @ 3.21% (0.481 0.48)
4-1 @ 2.64% (0.347 0.35)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.128 0.13)
5-0 @ 1.16% (0.236 0.24)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.123 0.12)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.177 0.18)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 60.73%
1-1 @ 10.71% (-0.57 -0.57)
0-0 @ 7.21% (-0.717 -0.72)
2-2 @ 3.98% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 22.62%
0-1 @ 5.92% (-0.73 -0.73)
1-2 @ 4.4% (-0.336 -0.34)
0-2 @ 2.44% (-0.36 -0.36)
1-3 @ 1.21% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.09% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 16.62%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs DC United

Philadelphia Union
75.0%
Draw
17.9%
DC United
7.1%
28
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2021 1am
DC United
3-1
Philadelphia
Kamara (36' pen.), Reyna (49'), Abila (90+5')
Najar (55')
Birnbaum (22' og.)
Elliott (59')
Jul 18, 2021 12.30am
Philadelphia
2-1
DC United
Santos (11'), Przybylko (83')
Andres Martinez (22')
Rodrigo Asad (51' pen.)
Rodrigo Asad (27'), Alfaro (45+1'), Reyna (45+1')
May 24, 2021 12.15am
Oct 15, 2020 1am
DC United
2-2
Philadelphia
Pines (71'), Rodrigo Asad (75' pen.)
Canouse (60')
Fontana (49'), McKenzie (87')
Santos (42'), Fontana (54'), Bedoya (74'), Mbaizo (81')
Aug 30, 2020 12.30am
Philadelphia
4-1
DC United
Przybylko (7', 16'), Santos (21'), Aaronson (61')
Andres Martinez (10'), Mbaizo (56'), Ilsinho (69'), Creavalle (80'), Monteiro (87')
Gressel (63')
Felipe (19')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami31198468442465
2Columbus Crew30168658322656
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati31175952401256
4Orlando City31128115045544
5New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls31101474843544
6New York City FCNY City31128114744344
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC31119113633342
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia319101257471037
9Toronto32114173855-1737
10DC United3199134561-1636
11CF MontrealMontreal31811124161-2035
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta31810134044-434
13Nashville SCNashville31810133146-1534
14Chicago Fire3279163654-1830
15New England RevolutionNew England3085173260-2829

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy31177763461758
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake311410760451552
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles30157853401352
4Colorado RapidsColorado31156105850851
5Houston DynamoHouston30139843331048
6Seattle SoundersSeattle30138945341147
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2913794940946
8Portland TimbersPortland301281063531044
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd31127125048243
10Dallas31108134949038
11Austin FCAustin3199133242-1036
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas3288164958-932
13St Louis City31614114357-1432
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3154223769-3219


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