Major League Soccer

Jul 5, 2022 at 12am UK

Florida Citrus Bowl

Orlando City
3 - 5
DC United

Torres (57'), Kara (66'), Pato (80' pen.)
Schlegel (50')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Fountas (5', 8', 51'), Smith (74'), Robertha (90+6')
Robertha (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Orlando City 2-1 DC United

Whatever deficiencies Orlando may suffer from in the attack, they have made up for it with their solid defensive shape, conceding a goal or fewer in their last six matches in all competitions. On the opposite side, the Black and Red are not a tough team to penetrate defensively, and even a squad like Orlando, who lack potency in the attack, should be able to find a way through. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 55.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for DC United had a probability of 21.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	DC United
55.1% ( -1.07)	23.63% ( 0.32)	21.26% ( 0.74)

Both teams to score 51.64% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.22% (

-0.45)

48.78% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.12% (

-0.41)

70.88% (

0.41)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.43% (

-0.55)

17.56% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.88% (

-0.97)

48.11% (

0.96)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.64% (

0.5)

37.36% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.86% (

0.49)

74.14% (

-0.49)

Score Analysis

Orlando City 55.1%

DC United 21.26%

Draw 23.62%

Orlando City	Draw	DC United
1-0 @ 11.41% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.93% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.6% Total : 55.1%	1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.62%	0-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.65% Total : 21.26%