Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.
Result | ||
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Orlando City |
45.09% | 26.71% | 28.19% |
Both teams to score 49.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.68% | 55.32% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.46% | 76.54% |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.56% | 24.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.12% | 58.88% |
Orlando City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.17% | 34.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.43% | 71.57% |
Score Analysis |
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Orlando City |
1-0 @ 11.99% 2-1 @ 8.91% 2-0 @ 8.45% 3-1 @ 4.19% 3-0 @ 3.97% 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.51% Total : 45.09% | 1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 8.51% 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.71% | 0-1 @ 8.98% 1-2 @ 6.67% 0-2 @ 4.74% 1-3 @ 2.35% 0-3 @ 1.67% 2-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.15% Total : 28.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |