Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 34.07% | 26.73% | 39.2% |
| Both teams to score 51.57% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.55% | 53.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.03% | 74.97% |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.3% | 29.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.24% | 65.75% |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.35% | 26.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.11% | 61.88% |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 1-0 @ 9.61% 2-1 @ 7.71% 2-0 @ 5.83% 3-1 @ 3.12% 3-0 @ 2.36% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.42% Total : 34.07% | 1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 7.91% 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.72% | 0-1 @ 10.46% 1-2 @ 8.4% 0-2 @ 6.92% 1-3 @ 3.7% 0-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 2.25% 1-4 @ 1.23% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.18% Total : 39.2% |
