Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 1

Apr 18, 2021 at 1am UK

Red Bull Arena

NY Red Bulls
1 - 2
Kansas

Clark (48')
Diarra (41')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kinda (59' pen.), Salloi (61')
Isimat-Mirin (9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.

Result
New York Red Bulls	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
34.07%	26.73%	39.2%

Both teams to score 51.57%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.55%

53.44%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.03%

74.97%

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.3%

29.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.24%

65.75%

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.35%

26.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.11%

61.88%

Score Analysis

New York Red Bulls 34.07%

Sporting Kansas City 39.2%

Draw 26.72%

New York Red Bulls	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
1-0 @ 9.61% 2-1 @ 7.71% 2-0 @ 5.83% 3-1 @ 3.12% 3-0 @ 2.36% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.42% Total : 34.07%	1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 7.91% 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.72%	0-1 @ 10.46% 1-2 @ 8.4% 0-2 @ 6.92% 1-3 @ 3.7% 0-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 2.25% 1-4 @ 1.23% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.18% Total : 39.2%