Major League Soccer

Sep 11, 2022 at 12.30am UK

PPL Park

Philadelphia
5 - 1
Orlando City

Mbaizo (39'), Uhre (43'), Gazdag (55' pen.), Bedoya (63'), Elliott (87')
Flach (85')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Perea (75')
Schlegel (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

Last Six:

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, September 4 at 12am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Philadelphia Union	30	42	60
2	CF Montreal	30	10	53
3	New York Red Bulls	30	7	47

We said: Philadelphia Union 3-1 Orlando City

Although Orlando have won their last five games, we think that their winning run will come to an end when they face a Philadelphia side who are looking to clinch an eighth consecutive home victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 62.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 16.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	Orlando City
62.68% ( -0.52)	20.81% ( -0.03)	16.51% ( 0.54)

Both teams to score 52.25% (

1.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.27% (

1.1)

43.73% (

-1.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.88% (

1.06)

66.12% (

-1.07)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.64% (

0.19)

13.35% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.76% (

0.38)

40.23% (

-0.38)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.31% (

1.35)

39.69% (

-1.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.63% (

1.22)

76.36% (

-1.23)

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 62.67%

Orlando City 16.51%

Draw 20.81%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	Orlando City
2-0 @ 10.74% ( -0.36) 1-0 @ 10.66% ( -0.45) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.04% Total : 62.67%	1-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.81%	0-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.98% Total : 16.51%