Major League Soccer

Sep 14, 2022 at 11.55pm UK

Florida Citrus Bowl

Orlando City
0 - 1
Atlanta

Cartagena (37')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Almada (72')
Dwyer (50'), Araujo (78'), Mosquera (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

Last Six:

Last Game: Atlanta 4-2 Toronto
Sunday, September 11 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	New England Revolution	31	-3	38
8	Atlanta United	30	-2	36
9	Chicago Fire	31	-9	35

We said: Orlando City 2-0 Atlanta United

Losing in the manner Orlando did last weekend might be demoralising if it were anyone besides Philly, who have made it a routine of trouncing their opponents this season. Atlanta are a different team away from home as they struggle to create much, while the Lions have managed to find various ways to win matches in 2022, and we believe Pareja will be able to put together an intelligent game plan to help his side earn another three points at home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 49.78%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	Atlanta United
49.78% ( 0.1)	23.3% ( -0.01)	26.91% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 59.2% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.19% (

-0.04)

41.81% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.79% (

-0.04)

64.21% (

0.04)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.05% (

0.02)

16.94% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.97% (

0.04)

47.02% (

-0.04)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.28% (

-0.09)

28.72% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.45% (

-0.12)

64.55% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Orlando City 49.78%

Atlanta United 26.91%

Draw 23.3%

Orlando City	Draw	Atlanta United
2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0) Other @ 4.09% Total : 49.78%	1-1 @ 10.77% 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.3%	1-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.07% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.47% Total : 26.91%