Major League Soccer

Oct 1, 2022 at 12.30am UK

BMO Field

Toronto
0 - 1
Inter Miami

Insigne (45+3'), Bradley (49'), Laryea (57')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Higuain (86')
Campana (32'), Gregore (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions

Last Game: Orlando City 4-0 Toronto
Sunday, September 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Inter Miami

All competitions

Last Game: DC United 2-3 Inter Miami
Sunday, September 18 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Toronto 1-2 Inter Miami

We expect Toronto to put up a fight, as their dangerous attacking tandem should be able to create their share of opportunities, but Higuain has found another gear and seems to be in the zone right now, so look for him to step it up and propel his side to another three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 54.97%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 22.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
Toronto	Draw	Inter Miami
54.97% ( -0.2)	22.98% ( 0.05)	22.05% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 54.81% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.9% (

-0.06)

45.1% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.56% (

-0.06)

67.44% (

0.06)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.72% (

-0.09)

16.28% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.16% (

-0.16)

45.84% (

0.16)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.47% (

0.1)

34.53% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.75% (

0.11)

71.25% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Toronto 54.97%

Inter Miami 22.05%

Draw 22.98%

Toronto	Draw	Inter Miami
1-0 @ 10.2% 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 54.97%	1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.98%	0-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 22.05%