Major League Soccer

Sep 18, 2022 at 10pm UK

RFK Stadium

DC United
2 - 3
Inter Miami

Benteke (22'), Fountas (58')
Durkin (43'), Fountas (62')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Campana (39', 53'), Higuain (90+4')
Lowe (62'), Gregore (68'), Vassilev (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

Last Six:

Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Columbus Crew
Wednesday, September 14 at 1am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Atlanta United	32	-1	40
9	Inter Miami	30	-8	39
10	New England Revolution	32	-4	38

We said: DC United 0-1 Inter Miami

DC look like a broken team, and it is hard to blame them, seeing as they have suffered six defeats by three goals or more this season, as all year they have struggled to keep the ball out of their own goal. Inter Miami do not have much more overall quality than the Black and Red, but they have two individuals in Higuain and Pozuelo who have shown that they are capable of leading this team to victory on numerous occasions, and we expect them to do exactly that on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
DC United	Draw	Inter Miami
41.66% ( 0.04)	26.91% ( -0.1)	31.43% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 50.25% (

0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.21% (

0.39)

54.78% (

-0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.91% (

0.33)

76.09% (

-0.33)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.06% (

0.2)

25.94% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.06% (

0.27)

60.94% (

-0.27)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.85% (

0.24)

32.15% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.37% (

0.27)

68.63% (

-0.27)

Score Analysis

DC United 41.66%

Inter Miami 31.43%

Draw 26.91%

DC United	Draw	Inter Miami
1-0 @ 11.25% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 41.66%	1-1 @ 12.77% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.91%	0-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.73% Total : 31.43%