Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.