Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 16

Jul 8, 2021 at 12.30am UK

Saputo Stadium

Montreal
2 - 1
NY City

Toye (43' pen.), Quioto (73')
Brault-Guillard (57')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Parks (29')
Moralez (60'), Ibeagha (70'), Morales (77'), Castellanos (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
CF Montreal	Draw	New York City FC
29.21%	24.22%	46.57%

Both teams to score 57.82%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.57%

44.43%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.2%

66.8%

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.57%

28.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.81%

64.19%

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.78%

19.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.09%

50.91%

Score Analysis

CF Montreal 29.21%

New York City FC 46.57%

Draw 24.22%

CF Montreal	Draw	New York City FC
2-1 @ 7.13% 1-0 @ 6.87% 2-0 @ 4.32% 3-1 @ 2.99% 3-2 @ 2.46% 3-0 @ 1.81% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.68% Total : 29.21%	1-1 @ 11.33% 2-2 @ 5.88% 0-0 @ 5.46% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.22%	1-2 @ 9.35% 0-1 @ 9.01% 0-2 @ 7.43% 1-3 @ 5.14% 0-3 @ 4.09% 2-3 @ 3.23% 1-4 @ 2.12% 0-4 @ 1.69% 2-4 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.19% Total : 46.57%