Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 18

Jul 22, 2021 at 12.30am UK

Yankee Stadium

NY City
1 - 0
Montreal

Tajouri (29')
Chanot (62')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Waterman (42'), Hamdi Hussein Hafez (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 69.1%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 12.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	CF Montreal
69.1%	18.28%	12.63%

Both teams to score 50.8%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.45%

40.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.07%

62.94%

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.35%

10.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.5%

34.51%

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.85%

43.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.59%

79.42%

Score Analysis

New York City FC 69.09%

CF Montreal 12.63%

Draw 18.28%

New York City FC	Draw	CF Montreal
2-0 @ 11.52% 1-0 @ 10.29% 2-1 @ 9.69% 3-0 @ 8.61% 3-1 @ 7.23% 4-0 @ 4.82% 4-1 @ 4.05% 3-2 @ 3.04% 5-0 @ 2.16% 5-1 @ 1.81% 4-2 @ 1.7% Other @ 4.17% Total : 69.09%	1-1 @ 8.65% 0-0 @ 4.6% 2-2 @ 4.07% Other @ 0.96% Total : 18.28%	0-1 @ 3.86% 1-2 @ 3.64% 0-2 @ 1.62% 2-3 @ 1.14% 1-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.35% Total : 12.63%