Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 17

Jul 18, 2021 at 12.30am UK

Saputo Stadium

Montreal
5 - 4
Cincinnati

Toye (21', 72' pen.), Torres (34'), Hamdi Hussein Hafez (74', 87')
Waterman (41'), Brault-Guillard (90')

FT(HT: 2-3)

Medunjanin (6'), Brenner (14', 46'), Vallecilla (42')
Kubo (28'), Vallecilla (31'), Brenner (45+1'), Vermeer (67'), Acosta (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 50.98%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 23.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.66%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
CF Montreal	Draw	FC Cincinnati
50.98%	25.43%	23.59%

Both teams to score 49.11%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.44%

53.56%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.93%

75.07%

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.97%

21.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.18%

53.82%

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.2%

37.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.42%

74.58%

Score Analysis

CF Montreal 50.97%

FC Cincinnati 23.59%

Draw 25.42%

CF Montreal	Draw	FC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 12.39% 2-0 @ 9.66% 2-1 @ 9.4% 3-0 @ 5.02% 3-1 @ 4.89% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-0 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 1.91% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.44% Total : 50.97%	1-1 @ 12.05% 0-0 @ 7.95% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.42%	0-1 @ 7.73% 1-2 @ 5.87% 0-2 @ 3.76% 1-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.48% 0-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.63% Total : 23.59%