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[monks data]
New York City
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 18
Jul 22, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Yankee Stadium
Montreal Impact

NY City
1 - 0
Montreal

Tajouri (29')
Chanot (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Waterman (42'), Hamdi Hussein Hafez (76')

Preview: New York City FC vs. CF Montreal - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

New York City FC take on CF Montreal in the MLS Eastern Conference on Wednesday, with both sides looking to establish themselves in the playoff positions.

The visitors will head to USA's most populous city full of confidence after winning three successive matches, with the hosts looking to recover from two consecutive defeats.


Match preview

New York City FC head coach Ronny Deila on May 15, 2021© Reuters

Indeed, NY City have lost both of their last two matches by the scoreline of 2-1, including to Montreal on July 8.

It is a weird quirk of the MLS calendar that teams sometimes play each other in quick succession, with this only really occurring in major European football leagues when a fixture has had to be rescheduled to a later date for whatever reason.

NY City had taken the lead that day via Keaton Parks's 29th-minute strike, but were ultimately defeated despite dominating possession.

The same was true of the weekend's 2-1 defeat away to Columbus Crew, who only had 39% possession and six shots compared to NY City's tally of 21 across the 90 minutes, but still managed to come out as the winning side.

As such, former Celtic boss Ronny Deila, who took over in January 2020 and guided the club to the playoffs for the fifth successive season, will be demanding a more clinical edge from his attackers as they seek to gain revenge over Montreal on Wednesday.

CF Montreal head coach Wilfried Nancy reacts from the sideline on May 22, 2021© Reuters

Wilfried Nancy, who was promoted to become head coach of Montreal after Thierry Henry departed the club in March, will be fully aware of a potential backlash in New York on Wednesday.

However, his players' morale should be as high as any side in the MLS right now as three successive victories have propelled them to fourth in the Eastern Conference table, with a five-point buffer inside the playoff positions.

For a club which has failed to qualify for the playoffs in each of the last four seasons, this represents significant improvement under the 44-year-old's tutelage. It is still relatively early days, though, with Nancy keen to keep his players' collective feet on the ground.

That may prove a difficult mission to achieve, however, especially after the weekend's magnificent 5-4 victory over FC Cincinnati, with the Canadian outfit coming from 2-0 and 4-2 down to earn another valuable three points and extend their unbeaten run to six games ahead of a crucial match against playoff rivals NY City.

New York City FC Major League Soccer form:
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L

CF Montreal Major League Soccer form:
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

New York City FC midfielder Keaton Parks celebrates his goal with defender Gudmundur Thórarinsson on June 27, 2021© Reuters

NY City remain without Sean Johnson and James Sands, who are both on international duty with USA in the Gold Cup.

Gedion Zelalem and Heber are also both out of action with serious knee injuries, which have kept them on the sidelines since 2020.

Montreal, meanwhile, are likely to travel without Ballou Tabla due to a groin injury.

Defenders Aljaz Struna and Rudy Camacho will incur a one-match suspension if they are cautioned on Wednesday.

New York City FC possible starting lineup:
Barraza; Tinnerholm, Chanot, Callens, Thorarinsson; Acevedo, Parks; Medina, Moralez, Andrade; Castellanos

CF Montreal possible starting lineup:
Pantemis; Choiniere, Waterman, Camacho, Bassong; Wanyama, Mihailovic, Lappalainen; Maciel; Torres, Toye


SM words green background

We say: New York City FC 1-2 CF Montreal

With NY City's squad looking a little depleted at present and their form suffering, we can envisage Montreal winning a fourth successive match.

The hosts will likely dominate possession, but in Mason Toye especially, the visitors possess a clinical edge in attack, which could make the decisive difference.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 69.1%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 12.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: NY City vs Montreal

New York City FC
23.7%
Draw
13.2%
CF Montreal
63.2%
38
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Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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