Major League Soccer

Feb 26, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Bold Stadium

Austin
2 - 3
Saint Louis City

Driussi (45+4'), Gallagher (72')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Parker (24'), Stroud (78'), Klauss (86')
Ostrak (17')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Saint Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Los Angeles 3-0 Austin
Sunday, October 30 at 7pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Austin FC 3-1 Saint Louis City

Expansion teams have been able to develop quickly in this league, but it still takes time to have the continuity needed to be successful, and we expect the learning curve will be a steep one for Saint Louis early on. Whether or not Austin have fixed its defensive issues remains unknown, but even so, this team know who they are and have numerous attacking weapons at their disposal.

How to watch

You can watch Austin FC vs. Saint Louis City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 81.02%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Saint Louis City had a probability of 7.24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 3-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.16%), while for a Saint Louis City win it was 1-2 (2.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Austin FC	Draw	Saint Louis City
81.02% ( 0.03)	11.74% ( -0.02)	7.24% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 55.15% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.3% (

0.05)

24.7% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

55.47% (

0.07)

44.52% (

-0.07)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.39% (

0.01)

4.61% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

81.2% (

0.04)

18.79% (

-0.05)

Saint Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.81% (

42.19% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.4% (

78.6% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Austin FC 81.02%

Saint Louis City 7.24%

Draw 11.74%

Austin FC	Draw	Saint Louis City
3-0 @ 9.44% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 8.15% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 7.26% ( 0) 4-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.71% ( 0) 6-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.67% ( 0) 7-0 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 5.27% Total : 81.02%	1-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.43% ( -0) 0-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 11.74%	1-2 @ 2.23% ( -0) 0-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 7.24%