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Major League Soccer
Los Angeles FC
Major League Soccer
Nov 5, 2022 at 8pm UK
Banc of California Stadium
Philadelphia Union

Los Angeles
3 - 3
Philadelphia

Acosta (27'), Murillo (83'), Bale (120+8')
Cifuentes (65'), Ibeagha (87')
Crepeau (116')
FT
(aet)
Gazdag (59'), Elliott (85', 120+4')
Carranza (90+1')
Los Angeles win 3-0 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-0 Austin
Sunday, October 30 at 7pm in Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 3-1 NY City
Monday, October 31 at 12am in Major League Soccer

We say: Los Angeles FC 1-1 Philadelphia Union (LAFC wins on penalties)

 These are two elite-level teams who excel in similar categories. Both are capable of scoring in bunches, while the Union have a slight edge defensively, but LA have a solid defensive midfield setup. While this will be the first MLS Cup Final for either side, LA have veterans who have played on the most prominent football stages, and the experience of Bale and Chiellini, among others, could be that little extra needed to give the Black and Gold a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 55.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 21.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (6.08%).

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawPhiladelphia Union
55.88% (-1.982 -1.98) 23.06% (0.667 0.67) 21.06% (1.316 1.32)
Both teams to score 53.13% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.35% (-1.138 -1.14)46.64% (1.138 1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.09% (-1.076 -1.08)68.91% (1.075 1.08)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.48% (-1.071 -1.07)16.52% (1.071 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.74% (-1.966 -1.97)46.26% (1.966 1.97)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.64% (0.694 0.69)36.35% (-0.694 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.86% (0.694 0.69)73.14% (-0.694 -0.69)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 55.88%
    Philadelphia Union 21.06%
    Draw 23.06%
Los Angeles FCDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 10.81% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-0 @ 9.74% (-0.246 -0.25)
3-1 @ 5.91% (-0.258 -0.26)
3-0 @ 5.84% (-0.371 -0.37)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.66% (-0.22 -0.22)
4-0 @ 2.63% (-0.271 -0.27)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.084 -0.08)
5-1 @ 0.96% (-0.118 -0.12)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 55.88%
1-1 @ 10.94% (0.33 0.33)
0-0 @ 6% (0.283 0.28)
2-2 @ 4.99% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.06%
0-1 @ 6.08% (0.394 0.39)
1-2 @ 5.54% (0.267 0.27)
0-2 @ 3.07% (0.253 0.25)
1-3 @ 1.87% (0.123 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.68% (0.052 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.04% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 21.06%

How you voted: TBC vs TBC

TBC
60.5%
Draw
26.3%
TBC
13.2%
38
Head to Head
May 8, 2022 4am
Los Angeles
2-2
Philadelphia
Opoku (56'), Escobar (82')
Palacios (76')
Gazdag (9'), Carranza (67')
Santos (83'), Elliott (90+4')
Mar 9, 2020 2.30am
Los Angeles
3-3
Philadelphia
Vela (38'), Rossi (49'), Segura (71')
Palacios (45+2')
Santos (29'), Glesnes (48'), Aaronson (69')
Gaddis (33'), Andres Martinez (43'), Bedoya (45+4'), Fontana (90+6')
Sep 15, 2019 12.30am
Philadelphia
1-1
Los Angeles
Przybylko (3')
Vela (43')
Kaye (65'), Blessing (78'), Harvey (88'), Zimmerman (89')
Jul 1, 2018 1am
Los Angeles
4-1
Philadelphia
Diomande (25', 43', 55'), Blessing (96')
Beitashour (39'), Nguyen (85')
Picault (45')
rhs 2.0
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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