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Major League Soccer
Nov 5, 2022 at 8pm UK
Banc of California Stadium
Philadelphia Union

Los Angeles
3 - 3
Philadelphia

Acosta (27'), Murillo (83'), Bale (120+8')
Cifuentes (65'), Ibeagha (87')
Crepeau (116')
FT
(aet)
Gazdag (59'), Elliott (85', 120+4')
Carranza (90+1')
Los Angeles win 3-0 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Los Angeles 3-0 Austin
Sunday, October 30 at 7pm in Major League Soccer

We say: Los Angeles FC 1-1 Philadelphia Union (LAFC wins on penalties)

These are two elite-level teams who excel in similar categories. Both are capable of scoring in bunches, while the Union have a slight edge defensively, but LA have a solid defensive midfield setup. While this will be the first MLS Cup Final for either side, LA have veterans who have played on the most prominent football stages, and the experience of Bale and Chiellini, among others, could be that little extra needed to give the Black and Gold a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 55.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 21.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (6.08%).

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawPhiladelphia Union
55.88% (-1.982 -1.98) 23.06% (0.667 0.67) 21.06% (1.316 1.32)
Both teams to score 53.13% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.35% (-1.138 -1.14)46.64% (1.138 1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.09% (-1.076 -1.08)68.91% (1.075 1.08)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.48% (-1.071 -1.07)16.52% (1.071 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.74% (-1.966 -1.97)46.26% (1.966 1.97)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.64% (0.694 0.69)36.35% (-0.694 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.86% (0.694 0.69)73.14% (-0.694 -0.69)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 55.88%
    Philadelphia Union 21.06%
    Draw 23.06%
Los Angeles FCDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 10.81% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-0 @ 9.74% (-0.246 -0.25)
3-1 @ 5.91% (-0.258 -0.26)
3-0 @ 5.84% (-0.371 -0.37)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.66% (-0.22 -0.22)
4-0 @ 2.63% (-0.271 -0.27)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.084 -0.08)
5-1 @ 0.96% (-0.118 -0.12)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 55.88%
1-1 @ 10.94% (0.33 0.33)
0-0 @ 6% (0.283 0.28)
2-2 @ 4.99% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.06%
0-1 @ 6.08% (0.394 0.39)
1-2 @ 5.54% (0.267 0.27)
0-2 @ 3.07% (0.253 0.25)
1-3 @ 1.87% (0.123 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.68% (0.052 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.04% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 21.06%

How you voted: TBC vs TBC

TBC
60.5%
Draw
26.3%
TBC
13.2%
38
Head to Head
May 8, 2022 4am
Los Angeles
2-2
Philadelphia
Opoku (56'), Escobar (82')
Palacios (76')
Gazdag (9'), Carranza (67')
Santos (83'), Elliott (90+4')
Mar 9, 2020 2.30am
Los Angeles
3-3
Philadelphia
Vela (38'), Rossi (49'), Segura (71')
Palacios (45+2')
Santos (29'), Glesnes (48'), Aaronson (69')
Gaddis (33'), Andres Martinez (43'), Bedoya (45+4'), Fontana (90+6')
Sep 15, 2019 12.30am
Jul 1, 2018 1am
Los Angeles
4-1
Philadelphia
Diomande (25', 43', 55'), Blessing (96')
Beitashour (39'), Nguyen (85')
Picault (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami30197468442464
2Columbus Crew29168558312756
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati30175852391356
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls30101464739844
5Orlando City30127115045543
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC30118113633341
7New York City FCNY City30118114343041
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia30991257471036
9Toronto31113173855-1736
10CF MontrealMontreal30810124161-2034
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta3089134044-433
12Nashville SCNashville3089133146-1533
13DC United3089134461-1733
14Chicago Fire3178163654-1829
15New England RevolutionNew England2984173260-2828

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy31177763461758
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake30149760451551
3Colorado RapidsColorado30155105850850
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles29147852401249
5Houston DynamoHouston30139843331048
6Seattle SoundersSeattle30138945341147
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2913794940946
8Portland TimbersPortland301281063531044
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd30126125048242
10Dallas30107134949037
11Austin FCAustin3098133242-1035
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas3187164958-931
13St Louis City30613114357-1431
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3053223769-3218


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