MLS Playoffs | Conference Semi-Finals

Oct 21, 2022 at 3am UK

Banc of California Stadium

Los Angeles
3 - 2
LA Galaxy

Bouanga (23', 80'), Arango (90+3')
Palacios (56'), Murillo (58'), Vela (63')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Grandsir (44'), Joveljic (85')
Puig (12'), Edwards (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's MLS Playoffs clash between Los Angeles FC and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles FC

All competitions

Last Game: Los Angeles 0-1 Nashville
Sunday, October 9 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions

MLS Playoffs

Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-0 Nashville
Saturday, October 15 at 8pm in MLS Playoffs

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Los Angeles FC 1-1 Los Angeles Galaxy (LAFC advances on penalties)

The Galaxy should be feeling pretty good heading into this encounter against the highest-scoring team in the Western Conference after shutting down Golden Boot winner Hany Mukhtar on Saturday. Recent history is not in favour of the Supporters' Shield winners, but the Black and Gold have numerous players who have competed in the top competitions for both club and country, and that experience, along with a keeper who has saved six penalties in his career, we believe will be enough to propel them into the Western Conference Final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 54.52%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 24.1% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.41%) and 1-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FC	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
54.52%	21.38%	24.1%

Both teams to score 63.12%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.65%

35.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.62%

57.38%

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.93%

13.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.33%

39.67%

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.61%

27.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.14%

62.85%

Score Analysis

Los Angeles FC 54.52%

Los Angeles Galaxy 24.1%

Draw 21.38%

Los Angeles FC	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.6% 2-0 @ 7.41% 1-0 @ 7.28% 3-1 @ 6.51% 3-0 @ 5.03% 3-2 @ 4.22% 4-1 @ 3.31% 4-0 @ 2.56% 4-2 @ 2.14% 5-1 @ 1.35% 5-0 @ 1.04% 4-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.15% Total : 54.52%	1-1 @ 9.43% 2-2 @ 6.22% 0-0 @ 3.58% 3-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 0.33% Total : 21.38%	1-2 @ 6.11% 0-1 @ 4.64% 0-2 @ 3% 2-3 @ 2.68% 1-3 @ 2.64% 0-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.73% Total : 24.1%