Major League Soccer

Sep 15, 2022 at 3am UK

Empire Field

Vancouver
3 - 0
LA Galaxy

Gauld (57'), Vite (68'), Ricketts (86')
Owusu (7'), Martins (38'), Vite (62'), Berhalter (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Vazquez (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles Galaxy

Last Six:

Last Game: Nashville 1-1 LA Galaxy
Saturday, September 10 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Real Salt Lake	30	0	43
4	Los Angeles Galaxy	29	3	40
5	Seattle Sounders	30	3	39

We said: Vancouver Whitecaps 2-2 Los Angeles Galaxy

With Cavallini out, LA should have a decided advantage in the attack as they have many more match winners to call upon than the home side. However, the Galaxy are missing some critical components to their backline, so we expect Vancouver to expose their defensive woes on Wednesday and come away with a point, which in the long run will do little good for either side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Vancouver Whitecaps	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
30.31% ( 0.18)	23.56% ( 0.01)	46.13% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 60.84% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.25% (

0.07)

40.75% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.86% (

0.07)

63.14% (

-0.07)

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.15% (

0.15)

25.85% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.17% (

0.2)

60.82% (

-0.2)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.06% (

-0.05)

17.94% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.23% (

-0.08)

48.77% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Vancouver Whitecaps 30.31%

Los Angeles Galaxy 46.13%

Draw 23.56%

Vancouver Whitecaps	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 7.29% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 30.31%	1-1 @ 10.78% 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.56%	1-2 @ 9.26% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.85% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.3% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.59% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.54% ( -0) Other @ 3.74% Total : 46.13%