Major League Soccer

Oct 2, 2022 at 3.30am UK

The Home Depot Center

LA Galaxy
1 - 1
Salt Lake

Costa (68' pen.)
Hernandez (45+1'), Caceres (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Cordova (25')
Luna (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions

Last Game: Earthquakes 2-3 LA Galaxy
Sunday, September 25 at 3am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Salt Lake

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Salt Lake 1-2 Atlas
Friday, September 23 at 1am in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 3-2 Real Salt Lake

The Galaxy make it a little too easy for opposing teams to get clear-cut scoring opportunities, but they can counteract that with a strong attacking force that we believe is superior to RSL. It might not be pretty, but the kind of individual quality on the LA side should be enough to book their place into the postseason. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 63.71%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 16.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 1-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 1-2 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.

Result
Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	Real Salt Lake
63.71% ( 0)	19.54% ( -0)	16.75% ( 0)

Both teams to score 57.27% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.6% (

0.02)

37.4% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.38% (

0.02)

59.62% (

-0.02)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.86% (

0.01)

11.15% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.4% (

0.02)

35.6% (

-0.01)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.46% (

0.02)

35.54% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.69% (

0.02)

72.31% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Los Angeles Galaxy 63.71%

Real Salt Lake 16.75%

Draw 19.54%

Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	Real Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.54% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.69% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.21% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.97% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.96% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 3.73% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.05% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.74% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.68% ( 0) Other @ 4.46% Total : 63.71%	1-1 @ 8.99% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.96% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.54%	1-2 @ 4.65% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.1% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 16.75%