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San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
Mar 26, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Avaya Stadium
Toronto FC

Earthquakes
0 - 0
Toronto


Marie (30')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Louis City 3-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, March 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-0 Inter Miami
Saturday, March 18 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 2-0 Toronto

Toronto seem to have a dependable centre-back pairing, but there does not appear to be much depth across the board, and that could present a problem this weekend with some key midfielders being away for the international break. We expect the Quakes to have a decided edge in the midfield and create enough scoring chances to eventually come out on top.

How to watch

You can watch San Jose Earthquakes vs. Toronto and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 58.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 20.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawToronto
58.03% (0.12200000000001 0.12) 21.55% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 20.42% (-0.075999999999997 -0.08)
Both teams to score 57.2% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.23% (0.094999999999999 0.09)40.77% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.84% (0.095999999999997 0.1)63.16% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.2% (0.071999999999989 0.07)13.8% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.86% (0.136 0.14)41.14% (-0.131 -0.13)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.36% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)33.64% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.71% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)70.29% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 58.03%
    Toronto 20.42%
    Draw 21.54%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawToronto
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 9.19% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.1% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.55% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.01% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.57% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.24% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.98% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.77% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.28% (0.01 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.18% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 58.03%
1-1 @ 10.01% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.64% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.54%
1-2 @ 5.46% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.06% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.76% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 20.42%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Toronto

San Jose Earthquakes
63.6%
Draw
27.3%
Toronto
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Jul 10, 2022 12.30am
Toronto
2-2
Earthquakes
Kerr (71'), Osorio (75')
Kerr (87')
Ebobisse (26'), Skahan (90+2')
Yueill (90+5')
Feb 29, 2020 10.30pm
Earthquakes
2-2
Toronto
Rios (53'), Alanis (90')
Thompson (33'), Yueill (70'), Kashia (81')
Pozuelo (40' pen.), Laryea (51')
Altidore (71'), Endoh (90')
May 27, 2019 12.30am
Toronto
1-2
Earthquakes
Laryea (28')
Fraser (61')
Wondolowski (37', 81')
Thompson (33'), Espinoza (64'), Eriksson (69')
Aug 19, 2018 3am
Sep 9, 2017 10pm
Toronto
4-0
Earthquakes
Vazquez (26'), Altidore (48', 64'), Osorio (66')

Godoy (43'), Urena (57')
Ceren (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami30197468442464
2Columbus Crew29168558312756
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati30175852391356
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls30101464739844
5Orlando City30127115045543
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC30118113633341
7New York City FCNY City30118114343041
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia30991257471036
9Toronto31113173855-1736
10CF MontrealMontreal30810124161-2034
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta3089134044-433
12Nashville SCNashville3089133146-1533
13DC United3089134461-1733
14Chicago Fire3178163654-1829
15New England RevolutionNew England2984173260-2828

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy31177763461758
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake30149760451551
3Colorado RapidsColorado30155105850850
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles29147852401249
5Houston DynamoHouston30139843331048
6Seattle SoundersSeattle30138945341147
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2913794940946
8Portland TimbersPortland301281063531044
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd30126125048242
10Dallas30107134949037
11Austin FCAustin3098133242-1035
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas3187164958-931
13St Louis City30613114357-1431
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3053223769-3218


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