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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Mar 5, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Toronto FC

Atlanta
1 - 1
Toronto

Rossetto (60')
Ibarra (56'), Etienne (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bernardeschi (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Last Game: Atlanta 2-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, February 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Toronto

All competitions
Last Game: DC United 3-2 Toronto
Sunday, February 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 2-1 Toronto

 The Five Stripes should have the bulk of the possession as usual, and we believe that they will be able to expose the Toronto frailties out wide and maintain their unbeaten record at home against them in the regular season.

How to watch

You can watch Atlanta United vs. Toronto and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 58.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 19.99%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawToronto
58.52% (0.555 0.56) 21.49% (-0.316 -0.32) 19.99% (-0.233 -0.23)
Both teams to score 56.69% (0.703 0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.89% (1.113 1.11)41.12% (-1.109 -1.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.49% (1.125 1.13)63.51% (-1.12 -1.12)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.24% (0.541 0.54)13.77% (-0.536 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.94% (1.058 1.06)41.06% (-1.053 -1.05)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.74% (0.40900000000001 0.41)34.26% (-0.403 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.04% (0.434 0.43)70.96% (-0.429 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 58.52%
    Toronto 19.99%
    Draw 21.48%
Atlanta UnitedDrawToronto
2-1 @ 9.93%
1-0 @ 9.35% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-0 @ 9.27% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-1 @ 6.57% (0.127 0.13)
3-0 @ 6.13% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.52% (0.106 0.11)
4-1 @ 3.26% (0.125 0.13)
4-0 @ 3.04% (0.083 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.74% (0.085 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.29% (0.073 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.21% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 58.52%
1-1 @ 10.01% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-2 @ 5.32% (0.058000000000001 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.72% (-0.241 -0.24)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.48%
1-2 @ 5.37% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-1 @ 5.05% (-0.201 -0.2)
0-2 @ 2.71% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 19.99%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Toronto

Atlanta United
91.7%
Draw
0.0%
Toronto
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2022 12.30am
Atlanta
4-2
Toronto
Sanchez (47', 62', 88'), Almada (74')
Hernandez (39')
Akinola (52'), Bernardeschi (67' pen.)
Jun 26, 2022 12.30am
Toronto
2-1
Atlanta
Osorio (8'), Priso-Mbongue (78')
Nelson (28'), Salcedo (52')
Araujo (57')
Moreno (54'), Araujo (70')
Oct 30, 2021 11pm
Atlanta
1-1
Toronto
Araujo (15')
Barco (56')
Perruzza (88')
DeLeon (17'), Lawrence (69')
Oct 17, 2021 12.30am
Toronto
0-2
Atlanta

Achara (24'), Delgado (90+2')
Auro (83')
Araujo (45+2'), Moreno (90+7')
Rossetto (16'), Walkes (90+8')
Barco (84')
Aug 19, 2021 12am
Atlanta
1-0
Toronto
Barco (20')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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