Major League Soccer

Apr 16, 2023 at 3.30am UK

Avaya Stadium

Earthquakes
3 - 0
Kansas

Espinoza (9'), Ebobisse (40' pen., 51')
Espinoza (59'), Gruezo (77')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Thommy (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, April 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions

Last Game: Kansas 0-1 Colorado
Sunday, April 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 1-0 Sporting Kansas City

Solid team unity and some quality up front can take you a long way, and the Quakes look much improved in virtually every aspect of their game early on. Kansas City have put together some good performances at times but cannot seem to find solutions to their goalscoring woes, which is why we are tipping the Quakes to claim a narrow victory.

How to watch

You can watch San Jose Earthquakes vs. Sporting Kansas City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 54.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 22.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
54.17% ( 0)	23.49% ( 0)	22.35% ( 0)

Both teams to score 53.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.05% (

-0)

46.95% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.8%

69.2% (

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.76% (

17.24% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.45%

47.55% (

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.71% (

35.29% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.96% (

-0)

72.04% (

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 54.16%

Sporting Kansas City 22.35%

Draw 23.49%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
1-0 @ 10.69% 2-1 @ 9.79% 2-0 @ 9.4% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.74% 3-0 @ 5.51% 3-2 @ 2.99% 4-1 @ 2.52% 4-0 @ 2.42% 4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 3.79% Total : 54.16%	1-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.49%	0-1 @ 6.34% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.8% 0-2 @ 3.3% 1-3 @ 2.02% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.97% Total : 22.35%