

Dallas2 - 1Kansas
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, March 11 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Sunday, March 12 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
We said: Dallas 2-0 Sporting Kansas City
Both these teams are in less than ideal form going into the match, but Dallas' excellent home record means they will be confident of recording a win given their opponents' winless start to the season.How to watch
You can watch Dallas vs. Sporting Kansas City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 57.43%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 19.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.
Result | ||
Dallas | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
57.43% (![]() | 23.04% (![]() | 19.53% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.83% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.47% (![]() | 48.53% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.34% (![]() | 70.66% (![]() |
Dallas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.36% (![]() | 16.64% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.51% (![]() | 46.49% (![]() |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.98% (![]() | 39.02% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.26% (![]() | 75.75% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Dallas | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
1-0 @ 11.64% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.44% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.83% 3-0 @ 6.24% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.87% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.8% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.76% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.63% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.24% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.03% Total : 57.43% | 1-1 @ 10.96% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.5% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.62% ( ![]() Other @ 0.96% Total : 23.04% | 0-1 @ 6.11% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.16% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.88% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.45% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 0.9% ( ![]() Other @ 1.41% Total : 19.53% |