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Major League Soccer
FC Dallas
Major League Soccer
Mar 5, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Toyota Stadium
LA Galaxy

Dallas
3 - 1
LA Galaxy

Velasco (45+2'), Ferreira (56', 64')
Cerrillo (54'), Velasco (72'), Jesus (90+7'), Obrian (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Joveljic (35')
Delgado (41'), Leerdam (58'), Judd (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dallas

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 0-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, February 26 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-2 LA Galaxy
Friday, October 21 at 3am in MLS Playoffs

We said: Dallas 1-0 Los Angeles Galaxy

 Last week's defeat to Minnesota came as a surprise to most as Dallas enjoyed an excellent 2022 season, but we think that they will put that right here. We are leaning more towards a Dallas victory, especially if Javier Hernandez is absent for the visitors.

How to watch

You can watch Dallas vs. Los Angeles Galaxy and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 46.12%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.

Result
DallasDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
46.12% (0.082000000000001 0.08) 24.8% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 29.07% (-0.096 -0.1)
Both teams to score 55.77% (-0.101 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.92% (-0.105 -0.11)47.08% (0.105 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.68% (-0.099 -0.1)69.32% (0.09899999999999 0.1)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)20.47% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.05% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)52.94% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.12% (-0.122 -0.12)29.87% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.03% (-0.146 -0.15)65.96% (0.14700000000001 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Dallas 46.12%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 29.07%
    Draw 24.8%
DallasDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
1-0 @ 9.7% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.69% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.91% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.07% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.95%
4-0 @ 1.61% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 46.12%
1-1 @ 11.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.12% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 7.39% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.08% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.85% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.8% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 29.07%

How you voted: Dallas vs LA Galaxy

Dallas
55.6%
Draw
33.3%
Los Angeles Galaxy
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Jul 31, 2022 2am
Dallas
1-0
LA Galaxy
Jara (9')
Jara (35'), Cerrillo (82'), Arriola (86')

Gasper (22'), Zavaleta (38'), Edwards (53'), Araujo (62')
May 15, 2022 3.30am
LA Galaxy
1-3
Dallas
Costa (67')
Costa (77'), Coulibaly (90+5')
Ferreira (11', 23'), Arriola (20')
Ntsabeleng (26'), Farfan (64'), Arriola (75')
Oct 24, 2021 3am
LA Galaxy
2-2
Dallas
Hernandez (65' pen.), Lletget (83')
Raveloson (4'), DePuy (85'), Hernandez (86')
Ferreira (30'), Jara (41')
Obrian (66'), Pomykal (70'), Maurer (78'), Twumasi (90'), Bressan (90+5')
Jul 25, 2021 1.30am
Dallas
4-0
LA Galaxy
Pepi (27', 44', 50'), Obrian (88')
Ricaurte (18'), Maurer (78')

Saldana (22'), Araujo (59'), Acosta (83')
Jul 8, 2021 3.30am
LA Galaxy
3-1
Dallas
Raveloson (17'), Cabral (27'), Zubak (51')
DePuy (66')
Jara (71')
Twumasi (54'), Cerrillo (57'), Obrian (83')
rhs 2.0
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
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