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Real Salt Lake
Major League Soccer
Apr 23, 2023 at 2.30am UK
Rio Tinto Stadium
San Jose Earthquakes

Salt Lake
3 - 1
Earthquakes

Loffelsend (39'), Savarino (54'), Gomez (80')
Ruiz (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Espinoza (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Real Salt Lake and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dallas 2-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, April 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 3-0 Kansas
Sunday, April 16 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Real Salt Lake 1-2 San Jose Earthquakes

We think that San Jose will extend their unbeaten run here, and also claim their first away win of the season. The Quakes look much improved in virtually every aspect of their game early on, while RSL have only won once at home all season, and despite it being a resounding victory, we think it could be a one-off.

How to watch

You can watch Real Salt Lake vs. San Jose Earthquakes and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 57.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 19.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.

Result
Real Salt LakeDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
57.95% (0.055999999999997 0.06) 22.27% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 19.78% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 53.7% (-0.073 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.09% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)44.91% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.74% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)67.26% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.79% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)15.21% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.14% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)43.86% (0.00099999999999767 0)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.34% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)36.66% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.55% (-0.084 -0.08)73.45% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Real Salt Lake 57.95%
    San Jose Earthquakes 19.78%
    Draw 22.26%
Real Salt LakeDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
1-0 @ 10.5% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.92%
2-0 @ 9.89% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.23%
3-0 @ 6.21% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.93%
4-0 @ 2.92% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.1%
5-0 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 57.95%
1-1 @ 10.53%
0-0 @ 5.58% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.26%
0-1 @ 5.6%
1-2 @ 5.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.81% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 19.78%

Head to Head
Jul 31, 2022 3am
Earthquakes
2-2
Salt Lake
Espinoza (12' pen.), Ebobisse (62')
Espinoza (45+2'), Yueill (85'), Covelo (86'), Gregus (90+5')
Loffelsend (21'), Savarino (90+5')
Glad (12'), MacMath (15'), Chang (37'), Savarino (90+6')
Jun 19, 2022 2.30am
Salt Lake
2-0
Earthquakes
Silva (22'), Savarino (81')
Schmitt (31'), Luiz (84')

Espinoza (68'), Cardoso (79')
Oct 30, 2021 8.30pm
gameweek 44
Salt Lake
3-4
Earthquakes
Rusnak (9', 90+3'), Chang (85')
Glad (48')
Fierro (37'), Wondolowski (45+3'), Cowell (69'), Yueill (79')
Alanis (27'), Yueill (45'), Judson (58'), Espinoza (75')
Sep 16, 2021 3.30am
gameweek 33
Earthquakes
3-4
Salt Lake
Lopez (26', 50', 65')
Judson (59'), Lopez (69'), Remedi (72')
Rubin (45+2', 81'), Rusnak (49'), Meram (71')
Besler (8'), Rusnak (62'), Toia (65'), Ruiz (67'), Kreilach (75')
May 8, 2021 2.30am
gameweek 5
Salt Lake
1-2
Earthquakes
Yovani Mendez Rubin (43')
Kreilach (1'), Rusnak (49'), Meram (50'), Besler (86')
Wondolowski (83', 87')
Remedi (21')
rhs 2.0
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami30197468442464
2Columbus Crew29168558312756
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati30175852391356
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls30101464739844
5Orlando City30127115045543
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC30118113633341
7New York City FCNY City30118114343041
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia30991257471036
9Toronto31113173855-1736
10CF MontrealMontreal30810124161-2034
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta3089134044-433
12Nashville SCNashville3089133146-1533
13DC United3089134461-1733
14Chicago Fire3178163654-1829
15New England RevolutionNew England2984173260-2828

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy31177763461758
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake30149760451551
3Colorado RapidsColorado30155105850850
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles29147852401249
5Houston DynamoHouston30139843331048
6Seattle SoundersSeattle30138945341147
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2913794940946
8Portland TimbersPortland301281063531044
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd30126125048242
10Dallas30107134949037
11Austin FCAustin3098133242-1035
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas3187164958-931
13St Louis City30613114357-1431
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3053223769-3218


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