Major League Soccer

Jul 31, 2022 at 3am UK

Buck Shaw Stadium

Earthquakes
2 - 2
Salt Lake

Espinoza (12' pen.), Ebobisse (62')
Espinoza (45+2'), Yueill (85'), Covelo (86'), Gregus (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Loffelsend (21'), Savarino (90+5')
Glad (12'), MacMath (15'), Chang (37'), Savarino (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Salt Lake

Last Six:

Last Game: Salt Lake 0-1 Dallas
Sunday, July 24 at 3am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Real Salt Lake	22	1	33
2	Dallas	22	7	32
3	Portland Timbers	22	4	30

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 2-2 Real Salt Lake

Although San Jose Earthquakes are 11 points adrift of their opponents, we think that they will draw confidence from a run of home form which has seen them lose one of their last nine MLS home games, and we believe that the hosts will do enough to clinch a point on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 55.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 22.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 1-2 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Real Salt Lake
55.53% ( 0.21)	22.42% ( -0.07)	22.05% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 56.69% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.4% (

0.19)

42.6% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35% (

0.19)

65% (

-0.19)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.78% (

0.13)

15.22% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.13% (

0.25)

43.87% (

-0.25)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.87% (

-0.01)

33.13% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.27% (

-0.01)

69.73% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 55.53%

Real Salt Lake 22.05%

Draw 22.41%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Real Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.75% Total : 55.53%	1-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.41%	1-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.01% 0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 22.05%