Major League Soccer

Jul 14, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta
2 - 1
Salt Lake

Cisneros (7', 33')
Moreno (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Kappelhof (37')
Holt (44'), Besler (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

Last Six:

Last Game: Atlanta 0-3 Austin
Sunday, July 10 at 12am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	New England Revolution	19	-1	25
8	Atlanta United	18	0	20
9	Toronto	19	-10	19

We said: Atlanta United 2-3 Real Salt Lake

Considering both Atlanta and Real Salt Lake have looked leaky at the back, goals are to be expected at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Both teams will fancy their chances of claiming maximum points, but we feel that the visitors will edge an entertaining contest on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 61.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 18.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 1-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 1-2 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atlanta United in this match.

Result
Atlanta United	Draw	Real Salt Lake
61.41% ( -2.55)	20.38% ( 0.63)	18.2% ( 1.92)

Both teams to score 57.32% (

1.89)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.24% (

0.55)

38.76% (

-0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.93% (

0.57)

61.07% (

-0.58)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.82% (

-0.53)

12.17% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.19% (

-1.13)

37.81% (

1.13)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.26% (

2.54)

34.73% (

-2.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.53% (

2.59)

71.46% (

-2.6)

Score Analysis

Atlanta United 61.41%

Real Salt Lake 18.2%

Draw 20.38%

Atlanta United	Draw	Real Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.65) 1-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.43) 3-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.61) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.4) 4-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.2) Other @ 3.93% Total : 61.41%	1-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.36) 0-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.38%	1-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.43) 0-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.25) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.26) Other @ 2.78% Total : 18.2%