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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Jul 14, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Real Salt Lake

Atlanta
2 - 1
Salt Lake

Cisneros (7', 33')
Moreno (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Kappelhof (37')
Holt (44'), Besler (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salt Lake 2-2 Colorado
Sunday, July 10 at 3am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 2-3 Real Salt Lake

Considering both Atlanta and Real Salt Lake have looked leaky at the back, goals are to be expected at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Both teams will fancy their chances of claiming maximum points, but we feel that the visitors will edge an entertaining contest on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 61.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 18.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 1-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 1-2 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atlanta United in this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawReal Salt Lake
61.41% (-2.548 -2.55) 20.38% (0.627 0.63) 18.2% (1.916 1.92)
Both teams to score 57.32% (1.894 1.89)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.24% (0.546 0.55)38.76% (-0.549 -0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.93% (0.572 0.57)61.07% (-0.575 -0.58)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.82% (-0.53400000000001 -0.53)12.17% (0.53 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.19% (-1.134 -1.13)37.81% (1.13 1.13)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.26% (2.535 2.54)34.73% (-2.539 -2.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.53% (2.59 2.59)71.46% (-2.596 -2.6)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 61.41%
    Real Salt Lake 18.2%
    Draw 20.38%
Atlanta UnitedDrawReal Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.38% (-0.654 -0.65)
1-0 @ 8.9% (-0.427 -0.43)
3-1 @ 6.96% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-0 @ 6.58% (-0.611 -0.61)
3-2 @ 3.68% (0.177 0.18)
4-1 @ 3.66% (-0.153 -0.15)
4-0 @ 3.47% (-0.403 -0.4)
4-2 @ 1.94% (0.053 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.54% (-0.099 -0.1)
5-0 @ 1.46% (-0.204 -0.2)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 61.41%
1-1 @ 9.42% (0.207 0.21)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.355 0.36)
0-0 @ 4.23% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.145 0.15)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.38%
1-2 @ 4.98% (0.434 0.43)
0-1 @ 4.47% (0.189 0.19)
0-2 @ 2.36% (0.251 0.25)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.24 0.24)
1-3 @ 1.76% (0.26 0.26)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 18.2%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Salt Lake

Atlanta United
27.3%
Draw
9.1%
Real Salt Lake
63.6%
44
Head to Head
May 25, 2019 2am
Sep 23, 2018 12am
Atlanta
2-0
Salt Lake
Gressel (37'), Villalba (61')

Sunny (43')
Apr 23, 2017 2.30am
Salt Lake
1-3
Atlanta
Rusnak (69')
Beckerman (21')
Villalba (9'), Asad (46'), Vazquez (96')
Carmona (38'), Garza (77'), Almiron (84'), Kann (93')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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