Major League Soccer

Apr 16, 2023 at 9.30pm UK

Dignity Health Sports Park

LA Galaxy
2 - 3
Los Angeles

Boyd (41'), Delgado (84')
Aude (73'), Joveljic (90+4'), Puig (90')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Vela (22', 68' pen.), Hollingshead (70')
Acosta (19'), Palacios (60'), Cifuentes (63'), Palencia (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions

Last Game: Houston 3-0 LA Galaxy
Sunday, April 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Los Angeles FC

All competitions

Last Game: Los Angeles 3-0 Austin
Sunday, April 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 1-2 Los Angeles FC

The Galaxy became unglued last weekend, and although Vanney is an experienced coach who should be a calming presence, if things do not go their way in this one, there is no telling what they may do. Nothing appears to be bothering LAFC right now, and even with a match played on Tuesday, they have so many weapons up and down this roster that we expect to see them to claim their first victory at Dignity Health Sports Park on Sunday.

How to watch

You can watch Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-0 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	Los Angeles FC
31.33% ( -0.03)	24.94%	43.72% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 56.56% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.38% (

-0.01)

46.62% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.11% (

-0)

68.89% (

0.01)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.91% (

-0.02)

28.1% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.24% (

-0.03)

63.77% (

0.03)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.65% (

0.01)

21.35% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.69% (

0.02)

54.32% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Los Angeles Galaxy 31.34%

Los Angeles FC 43.73%

Draw 24.93%

Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	Los Angeles FC
1-0 @ 7.62% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.83% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.16% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 31.34%	1-1 @ 11.75% 0-0 @ 6% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.93%	0-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.67% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.68% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.97% 1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.42% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.54% Total : 43.73%