Major League Soccer
Apr 9, 2023 at 1.30am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
We said: Houston Dynamo 1-2 Los Angeles Galaxy
Houston have been impeccable in front of their home faithful so far this season but now face a visiting side who will be desperate to earn a result at the Shell Energy Stadium.
LA Galaxy undoubtedly have the talent to turn around their shaky start to the campaign, and we believe the return of Hernandez to the matchday squad will inspire Vanney's men to all three points in Texas.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 39.94% . A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.4% .
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6%) . The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 (8.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%) . The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood .
Result Houston Dynamo Draw Los Angeles Galaxy 35.71% ( -0.12) 24.35% ( 0.02) 39.94% ( 0.1)
Both teams to score 59.99% ( -0.09)
57.27% ( -0.1) 42.73% ( 0.11)
34.87% ( -0.1) 65.13% ( 0.11)
76.38% ( -0.11) 23.62% ( 0.12)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 42.29% ( -0.16) 57.71% ( 0.17)
78.54% ( 0.01) 21.46% ( 0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 45.51% ( 0) 54.49%
Houston Dynamo 35.71%
Los Angeles Galaxy 39.94%
Draw 24.35%
Houston Dynamo Draw Los Angeles Galaxy 2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.13% Total : 35.71% 1-1 @ 11.25% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.35% 1-2 @ 8.66% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.44% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.71% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 39.94%
rhs 2.0
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