Major League Soccer

Apr 9, 2023 at 1.30am UK

BBVA Compass Stadium

Houston
3 - 0
LA Galaxy

Herrera (35'), Bassi (65' pen., 73')
Herrera (27'), Bassi (42'), Caicedo (77')
Herrera (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Caceres (34'), Edwards (61'), Brugman (64'), Puig (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Last Game: Earthquakes 2-1 Houston
Sunday, April 2 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-2 Seattle
Sunday, April 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Houston Dynamo 1-2 Los Angeles Galaxy

Houston have been impeccable in front of their home faithful so far this season but now face a visiting side who will be desperate to earn a result at the Shell Energy Stadium. LA Galaxy undoubtedly have the talent to turn around their shaky start to the campaign, and we believe the return of Hernandez to the matchday squad will inspire Vanney's men to all three points in Texas.

How to watch

You can watch Houston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles Galaxy and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Houston Dynamo	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
35.71% ( -0.12)	24.35% ( 0.02)	39.94% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 59.99% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.27% (

-0.1)

42.73% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.87% (

-0.1)

65.13% (

0.11)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.38% (

-0.11)

23.62% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.29% (

-0.16)

57.71% (

0.17)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.54% (

0.01)

21.46% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.51% (

54.49%

Score Analysis

Houston Dynamo 35.71%

Los Angeles Galaxy 39.94%

Draw 24.35%

Houston Dynamo	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.13% Total : 35.71%	1-1 @ 11.25% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.35%	1-2 @ 8.66% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.44% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.71% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 39.94%