Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 40

Oct 21, 2021 at 1.30am UK

Robertson Stadium

Houston
0 - 3
LA Galaxy

Figueroa (37')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Kljestan (39' pen.), Valentin (45+1' og.), Cabral (47')
Hernandez (9'), Araujo (11'), DePuy (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 51.86%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 24.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 0-1 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Houston Dynamo	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
51.86%	23.6%	24.54%

Both teams to score 55.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.8%

45.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.46%

67.54%

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.56%

17.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.1%

47.9%

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.62%

32.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.11%

68.89%

Score Analysis

Houston Dynamo 51.86%

Los Angeles Galaxy 24.54%

Draw 23.6%

Houston Dynamo	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
1-0 @ 9.86% 2-1 @ 9.71% 2-0 @ 8.61% 3-1 @ 5.65% 3-0 @ 5.01% 3-2 @ 3.19% 4-1 @ 2.47% 4-0 @ 2.19% 4-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.78% Total : 51.86%	1-1 @ 11.12% 0-0 @ 5.65% 2-2 @ 5.48% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.6%	0-1 @ 6.37% 1-2 @ 6.27% 0-2 @ 3.59% 1-3 @ 2.36% 2-3 @ 2.06% 0-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.55% Total : 24.54%