Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 40

Oct 17, 2021 at 1.30am UK

Robertson Stadium

Houston
2 - 1
Seattle

Urruti (15'), Quintero (20')
Figueroa (79'), Corona (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Medranda (41')
Arreaga (54'), Paulo (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Seattle Sounders, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
Houston Dynamo	Draw	Seattle Sounders
42.91%	25.89%	31.21%

Both teams to score 53.37%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.27%

50.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.37%

72.63%

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.51%

23.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.48%

57.52%

Seattle Sounders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.76%

30.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.6%

66.4%

Score Analysis

Houston Dynamo 42.9%

Seattle Sounders 31.21%

Draw 25.88%

Houston Dynamo	Draw	Seattle Sounders
1-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 8.91% 2-0 @ 7.45% 3-1 @ 4.3% 3-0 @ 3.6% 3-2 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 1.56% 4-0 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.99% Total : 42.9%	1-1 @ 12.3% 0-0 @ 7.1% 2-2 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.88%	0-1 @ 8.5% 1-2 @ 7.36% 0-2 @ 5.08% 1-3 @ 2.94% 2-3 @ 2.13% 0-3 @ 2.03% Other @ 3.18% Total : 31.21%