Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 51.2%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.