Major League Soccer

Feb 26, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Nippert Stadium

Cincinnati
2 - 1
Houston

Santos (19'), Nwobodo (48')
Barreal (84')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Schmitt (45+2')
Artur (10'), Schmitt (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Philadelphia 1-0 Cincinnati
Friday, October 21 at 1am in MLS Playoffs

Goals
for

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Last Game: Houston 1-3 LA Galaxy
Sunday, October 9 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: FC Cincinnati 3-2 Houston Dynamo

Houston Dynamo look a much-improved side under the helm of Olsen, but FC Cincinnati have home advantage, and they are undefeated in the previous two meetings between the sides. As such, we expect a narrow home victory, with the game likely to be a high-scoring affair judging by both teams' results in pre-season.

How to watch

You can watch FC Cincinnati vs. Houston Dynamo and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 54.23%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 23.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Cincinnati in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Cincinnati.

Result
FC Cincinnati	Draw	Houston Dynamo
54.23% ( -0.76)	22.06% ( 0.14)	23.71% ( 0.62)

Both teams to score 60.17% (

0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.99% (

0.05)

39.01% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.67% (

0.05)

61.33% (

-0.05)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.59% (

-0.23)

14.41% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.68% (

-0.44)

42.31% (

0.44)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.3% (

0.55)

29.7% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.24% (

0.66)

65.76% (

-0.65)

Score Analysis

FC Cincinnati 54.23%

Houston Dynamo 23.71%

Draw 22.05%

FC Cincinnati	Draw	Houston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.28% Total : 54.23%	1-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.05%	1-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.11% Total : 23.71%