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Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
Sep 14, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Robertson Stadium
New England Revolution

Houston
3 - 1
New England

Quintero (37'), Picault (76' pen., 85')
Picault (51'), Ceren (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gil (63' pen.)
Farrell (31'), McNamara (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Houston 0-0 Kansas
Sunday, September 11 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 1-2 New England Revolution

As inconsistent as the Revs have been throughout the regular season, they have a good track record of points in Houston recently, and we believe the extra motivation of being in the playoff hunt will carry them through against a Dynamo side who are not the best when it comes to creating scoring chances. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 42.06%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawNew England Revolution
42.06% (0.010999999999996 0.01) 25.14% (0.0010000000000012 0) 32.79% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Both teams to score 56.46% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)47% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.75% (-0.004999999999999 -0)69.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.71% (0.0040000000000049 0)22.29% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)55.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.65% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)27.35% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.19% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)62.8% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 42.06%
    New England Revolution 32.8%
    Draw 25.14%
Houston DynamoDrawNew England Revolution
1-0 @ 9.15% (0.0029999999999983 0)
2-1 @ 8.9% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.46% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.44% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.29%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 42.06%
1-1 @ 11.86%
0-0 @ 6.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.77% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.14%
0-1 @ 7.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 7.69% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.32% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.21% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 32.8%

How you voted: Houston vs New England

Houston Dynamo
30.0%
Draw
15.0%
New England Revolution
55.0%
20
Head to Head
Jul 4, 2020 1.30am
Jun 30, 2019 12.30am
New England
2-1
Houston
Delamea Mlinar (51'), Bunbury (91')
Delamea Mlinar (45'), Farrell (54'), Agudelo (83')
Ceren (25')
Quioto (43'), Cabezas (82'), Fuenmayor (86')
Apr 1, 2018 1.30am
Houston
0-2
New England

Machado (69'), Fuenmayor (86')
Beasley (35')
Bunbury (15'), Penilla (71')
Somi (52'), Fagundez (64')
Apr 8, 2017 7pm
Mar 6, 2016 8pm
Houston
3-3
New England
Maidana (45'), Wenger (50'), Barnes (77')
Anibaba (55')
Fagundez (4'), Davies (52'), Kobayashi (93')
Bunbury (27'), Watson (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami30197468442464
2Columbus Crew29168558312756
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati30175852391356
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls30101464739844
5Orlando City30127115045543
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC30118113633341
7New York City FCNY City30118114343041
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia30991257471036
9Toronto31113173855-1736
10CF MontrealMontreal30810124161-2034
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta3089134044-433
12Nashville SCNashville3089133146-1533
13DC United3089134461-1733
14Chicago Fire3178163654-1829
15New England RevolutionNew England2984173260-2828

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy31177763461758
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake30149760451551
3Colorado RapidsColorado30155105850850
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles29147852401249
5Houston DynamoHouston30139843331048
6Seattle SoundersSeattle30138945341147
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2913794940946
8Portland TimbersPortland301281063531044
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd30126125048242
10Dallas30107134949037
11Austin FCAustin3098133242-1035
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas3187164958-931
13St Louis City30613114357-1431
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3053223769-3218


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