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DC United
Major League Soccer
Oct 9, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
RFK Stadium
FC Cincinnati

DC United
2 - 5
Cincinnati

Morrison (26'), Fletcher (46')
Birnbaum (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-4)
Acosta (6'), Brenner (8', 24', 37'), Vazquez (53')
Moreno (30'), Barreal (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 1-0 DC United
Sunday, October 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-3 Chicago Fire
Sunday, October 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: DC United 1-2 FC Cincinnati

The pressure of the game will make this a tense affair for FC Cincinnati, but they should be able to get past a DC United team that has not won in five games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for DC United had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest DC United win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
DC UnitedDrawFC Cincinnati
36.78% (0.106 0.11) 25.06% (0.026 0.03) 38.16% (-0.133 -0.13)
Both teams to score 57.55% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.08% (-0.112 -0.11)45.92% (0.111 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.77% (-0.106 -0.11)68.23% (0.105 0.11)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)24.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.03% (0.009999999999998 0.01)58.97% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.24% (-0.121 -0.12)23.76% (0.12 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.09% (-0.173 -0.17)57.91% (0.173 0.17)
Score Analysis
    DC United 36.78%
    FC Cincinnati 38.16%
    Draw 25.05%
DC UnitedDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 8.28% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.19% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.76% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.88% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.7% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 36.78%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.82% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.05%
1-2 @ 8.46% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 8.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.01% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.05% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.88% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 38.16%

How you voted: DC United vs Cincinnati

DC United
5.3%
Draw
26.3%
FC Cincinnati
68.4%
19
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 11pm
Cincinnati
0-1
DC United

Blackett (90+4')
Kamara (90+8' pen.)
Smith (90+1')
Nyeman (80')
Sep 26, 2021 12.30am
DC United
4-2
Cincinnati
Arriola (7', 41'), Birnbaum (21'), Robertha (72')
Hamid (34')
Vazquez (80'), Acosta (84')
Aug 1, 2021 12.30am
Cincinnati
0-0
DC United

Gyau (36'), Acosta (60'), Hagglund (64')

Moreno (15'), Mora (41'), Reyna (72')
Nyeman (52'), Mora (90+2')
Oct 19, 2020 12.30am
Aug 22, 2020 12.30am
Cincinnati
0-0
DC United

Deplagne (13'), Stanko (37')

Canouse (35'), Flores (88'), Abu (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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