We said: Los Angeles FC 2-0 Dallas
Los Angeles have been fantastic at home so far this campaign, yet to lose in any of their eight fixtures in front of their own crowd, while Dallas are the worst-performing side on the road, leaving us to believe the hosts will win this one.
The Black and Gold have kept clean sheets in each of their last five outings, and we expect that run to continue here with a shutout victory.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 70.18%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 12.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 1-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Dallas win it was 1-2 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.