Major League Soccer

May 12, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Toyota Stadium

Dallas
2 - 1
Austin

Musa (4'), Ferreira (56')
Illarramendi (8'), Fraser (43'), Ntsabeleng (48')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Driussi (84' pen.)
Pereira (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dallas

All competitions

Last Game: Toronto 3-1 Dallas
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Austin FC

All competitions

Last Game: Vancouver 0-0 Austin
Sunday, May 5 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Dallas have been poor this year but both seven of their eight points have come on home soil. The hosts also have an ongoing unbeaten run at home against the visitors, who have struggled on the road as well. We expect a draw here as the home side are not in a great moment. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 55.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 21.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.

Result
Dallas	Draw	Austin FC
55.17% ( -0.3)	23.55% ( 0.06)	21.28% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 51.93% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.59% (

0.03)

48.4% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.46% (

0.03)

70.54% (

-0.03)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.59% (

-0.1)

17.4% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.16% (

-0.17)

47.83% (

0.17)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.87% (

0.26)

37.12% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.09% (

0.25)

73.91% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Dallas 55.16%

Austin FC 21.28%

Draw 23.54%

Dallas	Draw	Austin FC
1-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 3.68% Total : 55.16%	1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.54%	0-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.68% Total : 21.28%